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Economic Forecast
Description and Release Dates
Most Recent Forecast
Archived Forecast Documents
Leading Economic Indicators
Advisory Boards
Related Information
Description and Release Dates
credit: istockphoto.com
 
The Oregon Economic Forecast provides information to planners and policy makers in state agencies and private organizations for use in their decision making processes.
 
The report is issued four times a year, in March, June, September, and December. In odd numbered years, the June forecast is released in mid May.

 

Most Recent Forecast
Quarterly Forecast Documents
Economic and Revenue Forecast (released on November 17, 2011)at symbol in envelope
Press packet (pdf)
PowerPoint slides of Economic and Revenue Forecast 

Forecast Document by Section (pdf)
 

Historical Annual and Quarterly Data Tables, 1990-2021 (xls)

 
Employment
Income
Other Indicators

Forecast Methodology
Oregon's Economic Forecast Methodology (pdf)

Archived Forecast Documents
books
Past Economic and Revenue Forecast Documents (pdf):

2011 3rd Quarter: Entire document Press packet
2011 2nd Quarter: Entire document Press packet
2011 1st Quarter Entire document Press packet
2010 4th Quarter: Entire document  Press packet 

Leading Economic Indicators
Since November 2003, the Oregon Economic and Revenue Forecast report has included analysis based on the Oregon Index of Leading Economic Indicators (OILI).  The OILI applies the Conference Board’s methodology for the U.S. National Leading Index to Oregon-specific components.  While it does not measure the magnitude of this economic activity, the Index can identify the direction of future trends.
 
Oregon Index of Leading Indicator (OILI) (pdf)
Methodology 
 
Report: February 2011
For additional information, contact Josh Lehner  at (503) 378-4052.

Advisory Boards
Governor's Council of Economic Advisors
 
The Governor's Council of Economic Advisors was formed in 1980 to improve the advice concerning future economic activity of the State of Oregon and to improve fiscal planning and revenue forecasting. The Governor appoints members of the Council for three-year terms based on the members' knowledge and expertise in the area of economic planning and forecasting. Council members provide advice from the perspective of academia, business and industry, and financial institutions.
 

 Chair
 Joe Cortright, Impresa, Inc. 
 
 Members
 Jennifer Black, Jennifer Black & Associates, LLC
 William B. Conerly, Conerly Consulting, LLC 
 Tim Duy, University of Oregon
 James Hendry, Brownstein, Rask, Sweeney, Kerr, Grim, DeSylvia & Hay, LLP 
 B. Starr McMullen, Oregon State University 
 Ham Nguyen, Portland General Electric 
 Randall Pozdena, ECONorthwest 
 Hans Radtke, Economist 
 Mark Rasmussen, Mason, Bruce & Girard
 Oran Teater, RBD Dain Rauscher 
 
 
2011 Meeting Schedule
 

 Date  Time  Location
 Fri., January 28, 2011  10:00 a.m. - noon Conf. Rm. A, Executive Bldg
155 Cottage St NE, Salem, OR
 Fri., April 22, 2011  10:00 a.m. - noon Conf. Rm. A, Executive Bldg
155 Cottage St NE, Salem, OR 
 Fri., July 29, 2011  10:00 a.m. - noon Conf. Rm. A, Executive Bldg
155 Cottage St NE, Salem, OR
 Fri., October 28, 2011  10:00 a.m. - noon Conf. Rm. A, Executive Bldg
155 Cottage St NE, Salem, OR 
 
 
 
 

DAS Economic Advisory Committee
 
The DAS Economic Advisory Committee was formed in 1984 to ensure that the Office of Economic Analysis receives adequate advice from agencies within state government. The Director of the Department of Administrative Services appoints members of the Advisory Committee for indefinite terms on the basis of the members' knowledge and expertise in the area of economic planning and forecasting. 
 
 Members
 Christopher Allanach, Legislative Revenue Office
 Art Ayre, DAS Budget and Management Div.
 Dae Baek, Legislative Revenue Office
 Nick Beleiciks, Employment Department
 Steven Bender, Legislative Fiscal Office
 Bryan Conway, Public Utility Commission
 David Cooke, Employment Department
 Craig Fischer, Oregon Department of Revenue
 Gary A. Helmer, Department of Consumer and Business Services
 Betsy Jensvold, DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis
 David Kavanaugh, Oregon Department of Transportation
 Jack Kenny, DAS Budget and Management Div.
 Gary Lettman, Oregon Department of Forestry
 Tom Lofton, Oregon State Treasury
 Mazen Malik, Legislative Revenue Office
 Michael Meyers, Business Oregon
 John Radford, Department of Administrative Services
 Brent Searle, Oregon Department of Agriculture
 Jennifer Shawcross, Oregon Employment Department
 Vic Todd, Department of Human Services
 Paul Warner, Legislative Revenue Office
 Stephen Whillhite, DHS Office of Forecasting, Research & Analysis
 Dennis Yee, Metro
 
 
2011 Meeting Schedule 


 Date  Time  Location
 Fri., January 28, 2011  1:30 - 3:30 p.m. Conf. Rm. A, Executive Bldg
155 Cottage St NE, Salem, OR
 Fri., April 22, 2011  1:30 - 3:30 p.m. Conf. Rm. A, Executive Bldg
155 Cottage St NE, Salem, OR 
 Fri., July 29, 2011  1:30 - 3:30 p.m. Conf. Rm. A, Executive Bldg
155 Cottage St NE, Salem, OR
 Fri., October 28, 2011  1:30 - 3:30 p.m. Conf. Rm. A, Executive Bldg
155 Cottage St NE, Salem, OR 

Related Information
Data and Reports
 

Links
 
National
 
Regional
 

Page updated: November 17, 2011